IFBC Sector Report - Swiss Private Banking

The core business of Swiss private banks is stagnating - where do the individual institutions stand in terms of profitability, growth and value creation?

Report
Author
Christian Hirzel / Noel Sager
Date
18/9/2024

With a comprehensive view of funding and its proactive management, companies gain response time, ability to act and room for maneuver in negotiations.

Key Takeways‍

  • The integration of CS into UBS continues to shape the financing environment.
  • Various banks are reaching the limits of their lending capacity in relation to capital regulations.
  • The increase in credit supply provided by new players remains below the demand volume so far.
  • Scarcity leads to higher margins for credit financing in the Swiss banking market.
  • Base rate cuts only partially offset rising financing costs.

In 2025, the financing environment for corporate clients is still heavily influenced by the fact that the Swiss business of Credit Suisse has been absorbed by UBS. In addition, many banks have almost reached the limits of their lending capacity compared to equity. An expansion of the credit supply and thus an intensification of competition from foreign banks, private debt or financing platforms has not yet had a significant impact. These facts have led to the expected tightening of financing options for corporate clients in Switzerland, across all industries. Credit margins have risen in line with the high demand for funding. This trend is likely to continue, if not intensify, due to the high level of investment pending in the “real” economy, f.e. in relation to energy transition and digitalization. The (expected) reduction in base interest rates (SARON, SWAP) can only partially alleviate the increasing financial burden on companies. These developments pose major challenges for corporate clients in their (re)financing.

The following success factors are based on our many years of experience and allow us to create confidence and trust between companies, investors and financing partners.

  1. Stable, forward-looking and profitable business models are more than ever a prerequisite for successful corporate debt financing.
  2. Companies must understand their own debt capacity and reduce its utilization with appropriate measures (including improving operational efficiency, reducing net working capital, selling non-value-adding activities, and liquidating assets).
  3. Existing financing will not automatically be extended in the same amount and under the same conditions – borrowers will need convincing arguments (“debt story”).
  4. Sophisticated financing solutions and a diversified creditor mix are becoming increasingly important.
  5. Establishing (re)financing takes time and a structured process.

IFBC supports companies with expertise that covers the entire spectrum of financing Options.

Conclusion
In 2025, successful corporate funding will continue to rely on sound planning, resilient business models and a careful assessment of debt capacity. In the face of challenging market conditions, sophisticated financing solutions and a broad financing mix are becoming increasingly important. With a clearly structured process, companies can develop and successfully implement financing concepts for all market conditions.

More information about Debt Advisory.

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«Numerous Swiss private banks have actively acquired client advisors from the newly created major bank.»

Top 5 - Net New Money

Top 5 - Return on Assets

Top 5 - Personnel Expenses

Despite NNM growth and an increasing Return on Assets, small private banks were only able to slightly increase their income from commission and service business on average compared to the previous year, while large private banks had to accept an average decline in their core business. In this context, it is clear that the Swiss private banks will have to ensure a return on the investments they have made in additional client advisors in the coming years in order to maintain or increase their profitability in the long term (NNM growth at appropriate margins).

«Despite NNM growth and a higher average Return on Assets, the core business of Swiss private banks is stagnating.»


Outlook

Increasing Competition

The takeover of Credit Suisse has shaken confidence in the Swiss banking sector, giving Swiss private banks the opportunity to position themselves as an attractive alternative to the new big bank. In view of UBS's market power, however, this must be seen not just as an opportunity but as a must: If the Swiss private banks do not succeed in positioning themselves in a targeted manner vis-à-vis UBS, there is a risk of additional margin pressure and a decline in core business due to UBS's economies of scale.

Stagnating Core Business

The results of  Swiss private banks in 2023 were positively influenced by an exceptionally  successful interest business. This led to a strong improvement in the  cost/income ratio, particularly for small institutions. This extraordinary  result must not overshadow the fact that the core business is stagnating or  even declining. Profitable growth in the core business should therefore be  the focus of strategic considerations in order to maintain or increase  profitability at the overall bank level in the long term.  

Declining Cost Efficiency

Due to the increasing demands in the areas of digitalization (in particular, customer expectations regarding digital services and cyber security) and regulation, it is to be expected that the cost pressure on Swiss private banks will continue to intensify. In addition, the hiring of new client advisors has led to a significant increase in personnel expenses. Accordingly, cost efficiency must be given greater consideration in order to ensure the long-term profitability of the bank as a whole.

For detailed insights from thestudy and benchmarks, contact: Christian Hirzel and Noel Sager.

IFBC Sector Report - Swiss Private Banking

(The document is available in German only.)

More information about our offering for Financial Services.


Also of interest to you, our article on Value-based Management.

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